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🪙 Cryptocurrency Market Reacts to U.S. and Israeli Strikes on Iran

🌍 The cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility over the weekend due to joint U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran. As traditional markets were closed, digital assets like Bitcoin and altcoins became the primary indicators of global investor sentiment. Bitcoin dropped from approximately $65,500 to a low of $63,037 before recovering slightly to around $64,000, marking a 4% drawdown. However, the altcoin market faced more severe losses.

📉 Ethereum fell to $1,840 after struggling with the $2,000 resistance level, while XRP dropped 6.6% to $1.30. Other altcoins like SOL, DOGE, ADA, and BCH also saw declines of about 7%. Among the top 20 assets tracked by CoinGecko, only Figure Heloc and LEO managed to gain.

🚀 In contrast, ORBS stood out with a remarkable 59% surge, rising from $0.018 to $0.01617. This unusual performance is linked to its historical correlation with Israeli military operations. Some investors view ORBS as a "patriotic proxy" for exposure to Israeli tech resilience. Data from Cryptoquant showed a significant increase in exchange inflows from Israeli IP addresses following recent military actions.

📊 Despite some niche assets like DKA and GWEI finding liquidity, the overall altcoin market capitalization dropped from $982 billion to $910 billion shortly after the strikes. This incident highlights the cryptocurrency market's unique position as a 24/7 trading environment that can react swiftly to global events.

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⚖️ Bitcoin's Volatile Trading Amid Geopolitical Tensions

📉 On February 19, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant price fluctuations, struggling to maintain its value within a lower trading range. The cryptocurrency saw a drop in its resistance ceiling from $69,000 to $67,000 and a decrease in its support floor from $67,000 to just under $66,000. Despite rebounding from an intraday low of $65,733 to trade near $66,500, Bitcoin has lost approximately 5% of its value since failing to hold the $70,000 threshold on Monday and remains down over 25% in the past 30 days.

🔒 Despite the price stagnation, Bitcoin's network security is reaching historic levels, with the seven-day moving average hash rate hitting around 1 zettahash per second (ZH/s). While a record-high hash rate indicates a more resilient network, it is typically seen as a medium-term indicator that does not immediately affect price gains.

🔴 In the short term, market sentiment is characterized by "extreme fear", further exacerbated by a second consecutive day of net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Recent data shows a net exit of $133.3 million (approximately 1,980 BTC), an increase from the previous day's outflow of 1,520 BTC.

🌍 Bitcoin's performance is also influenced by broader macroeconomic concerns. The asset, which often correlates with the Nasdaq and high-growth tech stocks, is being impacted by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. There are fears that a potential U.S. military strike on Iranian targets could lead to a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital trade route. Such a conflict could trigger a surge in oil prices, reigniting inflationary pressures and complicating the outlook for interest rate cuts.

📉 Ethereum's Volatile Week: Price Drops and Key Support Levels

📊 On February 11, 2026, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,941 after a week of significant volatility. The price fell from over $2,140 to below $1,900 before stabilizing. This week, Ethereum experienced a net decline of 5.9%, reflecting high volatility in the digital asset market.

On February 5, ETH closed at $1,821 after hitting an intraday low of $1,818,

with trading volume exceeding $60 billion. The following day, Ethereum dropped to $1,748 but rebounded to close at $2,063, marking the week's lowest point and strongest recovery session. Volume peaked at nearly $65 billion that day, indicating forced liquidations and dip-buying activity.

📉 From February 7 to 9, prices stabilized around $2,090. However, on February 10, the recovery lost momentum with ETH closing at $2,019 after slipping to $1,990 during the session. Today's trading saw Ethereum open at $2,020.36, dip to a low of $1,911.90, and close at $1,941.71, a 3.9% decline from the previous close.

🔍 This decline pushed ETH further below the $2,000 psychological threshold, leaving about 58% of addresses in unrealized losses. Network metrics showed transaction fees dropping to $0.001 and a staking queue of approximately 4.1 million ETH, with about 30% of the total supply locked in staking.

❗️ Technically, shorter timeframes indicate a descending channel pattern with immediate resistance between $2,100 and $2,300 and key support in the $1,850-$1,900 range. Funding rates remain negative, and open interest has sharply declined, conditions that can precede increased volatility.

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☄️ Strategy Posts $12.4B Loss as Bitcoin Falls Below Cost Basis

💭 Michael Saylor’s Strategy reported a $12.4 billion net loss for the fourth quarter, driven largely by mark-to-market declines in its massive Bitcoin holdings. The loss coincided with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $60,000, pushing the firm’s stash beneath its cumulative cost basis for the first time since 2023 and wiping out gains made after last year’s U.S. election rally. For years, Strategy transformed itself from an enterprise software company into a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, exploiting a persistent premium in its stock price to raise capital and buy more BTC. That strategy is now faltering. The treasury company announced no new equity issuance or debt financing alongside earnings, signalling tightening access to capital as investor appetite cools.

🚫 While Saylor has insisted there are no margin calls and said the firm holds $2.25 billion in cash, enough to cover interest obligations for more than two years, pressure is mounting as Bitcoin continues to trade well below Strategy’s reported average acquisition price of $76,052. The company also reiterated that it does not expect to generate profits in the foreseeable future. Strategy currently holds more than 713,000 Bitcoin, valued at roughly $46 billion, per Bloomberg data. Although the firm added $75.3 million worth of BTC in late January, analysts say the broader model is under strain. Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer told Bloomberg that investors are now focused on whether Strategy can still raise capital to fund additional Bitcoin purchases under worsening market conditions.

📌 Critics have grown louder. As reported earlier Michael Burry recently warned that continued declines in Bitcoin could trigger cascading losses for corporate holders, reviving concerns long raised by short sellers about Strategy’s reliance on leverage and non-yielding assets. Strategy’s shares are now down nearly 80% from their November 2024 peak, underscoring how quickly sentiment has turned.

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