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Billionaire investor says Wall Street 'very convinced' Trump will win 2024 election
I just read this piece about how some big-time investors are feeling pretty confident that Trump is going to win the 2024 election. It’s interesting to see how the financial world is reacting to all this.
Stanley Druckenmiller, a billionaire investor who used to work with George Soros, said that Wall Street seems "very convinced" about Trump's chances. He pointed out that you can see this confidence in the recent performance of bank stocks and even in the crypto market. I mean, if bank stocks are doing well, it usually means investors are feeling optimistic, right?
What struck me is that despite this optimism, Druckenmiller made it clear he wouldn’t vote for either Trump or Vice President Harris. He called Trump a "blowhard" and seems to think a Harris presidency would be bad for business. It’s kind of refreshing to see someone in that position being honest about their feelings, even if it means they’re not fully on board with the candidates.
Scott Bessent, another investor, also chimed in, saying he supports Trump’s “growth agenda” and believes that Trump’s win is crucial for job creation. It’s like these guys see the potential economic benefits of a Trump presidency but are still grappling with their personal political beliefs. Bessent even mentioned that the odds are heavily in Trump’s favor, with a lot of money being bet on him winning. That’s a pretty bold statement!
In conclusion, what I take away from this is that there’s a strong belief among some investors that Trump could positively impact the economy, which makes sense given their backgrounds. But it’s also a reminder of how complicated the political landscape is.
These investors seem to be caught between their financial interests and their personal convictions, which makes for an interesting dynamic as we approach the election. I guess we’ll just have to wait and see how it all plays out!
611
08:52
21.10.2024
High excess death rates in the West for 3 years running since start of pandemic
For three years straight, excess death rates in the West have been higher than expected, despite all the efforts made to contain COVID-19—lockdowns, social distancing, and of course, the widespread rollout of vaccines. A study published in BMJ Public Health analyzed data from 47 countries, showing that millions of additional deaths occurred between 2020 and 2022. What’s particularly alarming is that these numbers stayed high even as containment measures were relaxed in 2022. It’s a trend that’s hard to ignore, yet there seems to be a reluctance to truly confront what’s happening.
Governments and researchers alike are acknowledging the numbers but seem hesitant to dig deeper into the reasons why. Yes, COVID-19 played a role, but what about the indirect consequences of the pandemic? The economic disruption, healthcare system overloads, and restrictions on non-COVID-related care surely must have contributed to this grim picture. But rather than openly addressing these potential factors, there’s a tendency to simply point to “complexities” and “data limitations.”
The researchers have raised serious concerns, calling for thorough investigations into the root causes of this persistent excess mortality. Yet, here we are, stuck in a cycle of acknowledgment without real accountability or action. It’s as if everyone understands what’s happening but refuses to call things by their proper names—whether it’s the long-term impact of lockdowns, delayed medical care, or even the unintended effects of vaccines. It’s time to stop avoiding the conversation and start addressing what’s truly at play here.
It was a mass murder!
849
09:10
16.09.2024
Xi Jinping might be gone for real this time
The recent flurry of rumors surrounding Xi Jinping's health and potential loss of power has fueled speculation about a potential leadership crisis within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The situation is reminiscent of earlier periods in Chinese history when the leadership faced significant challenges, such as after Mao Zedong's death.
Various sources, including Chinese dissidents and former journalists, have claimed that Xi may have collapsed due to health issues, leading to a leadership vacuum in Beijing. Reports suggest that factions within the CCP, possibly including former leaders and military officials, are maneuvering to establish a new leader to replace Xi. These rumors have been amplified by social media posts and unusual military movements in Beijing, suggesting that a significant political upheaval may be imminent.
Xi Jinping, who holds three key positions—General Secretary of the CCP, Chairman of the Central Military Commission, and President of China—has not been seen in public since late July 2023. The absence has fueled further speculation, especially as China's political scene appears increasingly unstable. Some reports even suggest that a temporary leadership group has been formed and that Xi's influence is waning, with military leaders like Zhang Youxia and Ding Xuexiang possibly stepping in to fill the power vacuum.
The situation remains fluid, with analysts divided on whether these developments indicate a genuine crisis or are merely the result of strategic leaks and disinformation. However, the consistent theme across various reports is that Xi's authority is being challenged, and the outcome of this power struggle could have significant implications for China's future trajectory, both domestically and internationally.
The next few weeks are critical in determining whether Xi will retain his grip on power or whether a new leadership will emerge, potentially reshaping China's political landscape.
889
14:00
21.08.2024
Why Science Will Never Explain Consciousness
The standard model of physics suggests that 61 elementary particles compose everything in existence, from celestial bodies to everyday objects. However, when these same particles form human beings, an intriguing phenomenon arises. Unlike a rock or a clock, which merely exist with physical properties, a human arrangement grants rise to a mind enriched with phenomenal consciousness—a vibrant world of sensations, emotions, and subjective experiences.
Philosophers refer to this rich internal landscape as phenomenal consciousness. This experience forms our understanding of taste, sound, and the beauty of a sunset. In contrast, functional consciousness describes an organism's ability to act and respond to its environment without necessarily possessing conscious awareness, much like an automatic door.
While functional consciousness can be explained through physical processes, the same cannot be said for phenomenal consciousness. It seems that any physical system could operate “in the dark,” responding to stimuli without any conscious experience. This raises the perplexing question: why do some arrangements of particles lead to consciousness when others do not?
Numerous theories have attempted to link physical properties with consciousness, such as global workspace theory and integrated information theory. Yet, these frameworks often fail to clarify why certain systems are conscious and others are not, stopping short at mere correlations.
A crucial reason for this impasse is the absence of a conceptual connection between physical processes and conscious experience. Just as the properties of water stem from molecular interactions, a similar connection must exist between particle movements and consciousness. However, this link is elusive, leading to the conclusion that physical science cannot adequately explain phenomenal consciousness.
This conceptual challenge compels researchers to explore new avenues, from viewing consciousness as an illusion to considering it a fundamental aspect of reality. As our understanding of consciousness evolves, so too does our perspective on what it means to be human. With advancements in technology, questions about AI consciousness and the potential for mind uploading become increasingly significant, underscoring the necessity of understanding this complex phenomenon. Recognizing the limits of physical explanations is the first step toward uncovering the broader implications of consciousness in our lives and the universe.
973
11:08
02.08.2024
US tests 1st cloud-powered ‘sun blocker’ tech
US researchers recently conducted the first outdoor test of a cloud-brightening technique aimed at deflecting sunlight and temporarily cooling the planet. This innovative geoengineering method, known as marine cloud brightening, involves injecting sea salt particles into low-lying clouds over the ocean to enhance their reflectivity. A team led by the University of Washington carried out these experiments in the San Francisco Bay Area to assess the technology's efficiency.
Clouds naturally reflect sunlight into space, and this technique aims to amplify this phenomenon by bouncing more sunlight away from Earth. The team used a specialized sprayer on the aircraft carrier Hornet to release microscopic sea salt particles into the air. In large-scale versions, ships will be equipped with massive spray machines to inject particles into the atmosphere. The correct droplet size is critical for achieving the desired cloud reflectivity, with smaller droplets providing better reflectivity.
While marine cloud brightening shows promise, it raises significant concerns. Some scientists are skeptical about its application on a larger planetary scale due to potential side effects. This geoengineering approach could influence climate patterns, including changes in ocean circulation and precipitation. The team behind the technique is studying these potential side effects to understand the full scope of the technology.
Sarah Doherty, an atmospheric scientist and director of the marine cloud brightening program, emphasized the importance of exploring and testing such intervention technologies. She stated that it is crucial to understand whether it is possible to predictably and reliably brighten low marine clouds and how this would affect temperatures, precipitation, and climate globally and locally.
In conclusion, while marine cloud brightening presents a potential solution to mitigate global warming, it is fraught with uncertainties and potential dangers. The technique could disrupt climate patterns, affecting ocean circulation and precipitation. Thorough research and understanding of its side effects are crucial before considering large-scale implementation.
1016
18:19
13.07.2024
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