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BroFi GOLD
Grounded, realistic & calm analysis. Always. Contact: Twitter: (DM on Twitter if you can't reach out on Telegram for whatever reason)
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SP500 closed today at an incredible level, and yet a lot of traders still look psychologically damaged from everything that's happened. They do not really believe this rally, and personally I think that is a big part of why BTC has not popped yet.
I do not think that disconnect lasts too long if stocks keep making the gains they're making. If that continues, crypto could finally start forming the early stages of a real recovery.
We'll watch to see how this develops.
SP500 closed today at an incredible level, and yet a lot of traders still look psychologically damaged from everything that's happened. They do not really believe this rally, and personally I think that is a big part of why BTC has not popped yet.
I do not think that disconnect lasts too long if stocks keep making the gains they're making. If that continues, crypto could finally start forming the early stages of a real recovery.
We'll watch to see how this develops.
While everyone's losing their minds, BTC has developed it's most bullish price pattern in history - again.
In 2020, directly after the pandemic crash, Bitcoin repeated what we're doing today with shocking accuracy.
1. Steep drop.
2. Sharp recovery.
3. Higher low.
4. Choppy sideways trading range.
5. Breakout that melts faces.
In 2020, Bitcoin used this setup to rally from $4,000 to $69,000.
So far, Bitcoin has followed in every single one of those steps apart from step 5.
If Bitcoin runs from here, we’re easily looking at Bitcoin north of $100,000.
This becomes a lot more likely if the stock market also rallies hard at the same time.
If more players in the industry took the approach of Bybit and Ben Zhou, the space would look a lot healthier.
Fortunately, it is moving in that direction because while fads and ponzis will always come and go, consistent builders like Bybit are the ones that stay standing when the dust settles. Every single time.
That confidence and stability is exactly what crypto needs when everything is toxic and everyone rugs everyone else.
Hopefully we see many more long term healthy builders in this space but for now, cheers to these legends for surviving some of the most turbulent events in crypto history, all while maintaining the core necessities of a modern day crypt platform including transparency & reliability.
These guys have huge things cooking for the next year and with product releases like the Bybit debit card, their feature is growing more and more useful in daily life.
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Now, I want to be careful here because these announcements have gone back and forth continuously since they started. Trump's entire presidency so far has been a series of unpredictable U turns. So take it with that context.
But one thing that IS clear to me is that the United States, from a foreign influence and power perspective, is significantly stronger than it was before he took office. That could lead to real inward strength over the next few years.
It doesn't have to... the markets for us have been in pretty bad shape since he took office and the core issues remain unresolved. But they remain unresolved at higher prices for certain equities and BTC is definitely looking like it wants to rip 10k higher.
And on top of that, it really does look like we're on track for my bigger thesis. That we actually have a very bullish rest of 2026 ahead of us.
I'll be honest. I'm happy with where we are. Extremely happy.
The S&P printed a large, scary pullback and completely recovered twice as fast as it dropped. That makes me feel very optimistic.
Now the key is whether this position holds.
Usually if something's going to flip flop, it happens within 48 hours. Maximum one week. But if things look calm and stable, and especially if they look even better after two weeks, I think there's a real possibility the pressure is off.
And the markets can get back to doing what they were already doing: trending upwards.
With all of the geopolitical noise, oil volatility, and general fear floating around, a weak market would usually be trading a lot lower than this. Instead, Bitcoin is still sitting near the highs of the range, which suggests buyers are still there.
That does not mean it is ready to explode higher immediately. I still want to see how price behaves once the US session gets moving properly.
But for now, BTC is handling bad news very well, and that usually matters.
Welcome to the new era.
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